Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 63.2%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Manchester United had a probability of 17.29%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 1-0 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a Manchester United win it was 1-2 (4.77%).