Premier League Gameweek 26
Feb 22, 2025 3.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT St. Mary's Stadium
  • Lesley Ugochukwu 2' yellowcard
  • Aaron Ramsdale 57' yellowcard
  • goal Joao Pedro 23'
  • goal Georginio Rutter 56'
  • goal Kaoru Mitoma 71'
  • goal Jack Hinshelwood 82'

Southampton vs Brighton & Hove Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions
Last game
Feb 15, 2025 3.00pm
Southampton 1 - 3 Bournemouth
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Paul Onuachu

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2025 8.00pm
Brighton 3 - 0 Chelsea
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Joao Pedro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 57.69%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 21.49% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.05%) and 0-1 (7.68%). The likeliest Southampton win was 2-1 (5.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result

Southampton 21.49% (+0.03)
Draw 20.82% (+0.04)
Brighton & Hove Albion 57.69% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.57% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 64.19% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 35.81% (+0.12)
Over 3.5 42.11% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 57.89% (+0.13)
Over 4.5 23.86% (-0.11)
Under 4.5 76.14% (+0.11)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5 70.21% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 29.8% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 34.13% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 65.87% (+0.07)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5 87.7% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 12.3% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 61.93% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 38.07% (+0.11)

Score analysis

Southampton 21.49%
Draw 20.82%
Brighton & Hove Albion 57.69%
Southampton
2-1 @ 5.63% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 4.44% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 2.69% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.27% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.08% (+0.01)
Other @ 3%
Total : 21.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.3% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.9% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.66% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.66% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 20.82%
Brighton & Hove Albion
1-2 @ 9.74% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 8.05% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 7.68% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 6.81% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 5.62%
2-3 @ 4.12% (-0.02)
1-4 @ 3.57% (-0.02)
0-4 @ 2.95% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 2.16% (-0.02)
1-5 @ 1.5% (-0.01)
0-5 @ 1.24% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.28%
Total : 57.69%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 13
Nov 29, 2024 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Broadfield Stadium
  • Matt O'Riley 16' yellowcard
  • Kaoru Mitoma 29' goal
  • Fabian Hurzeler 31' yellowcard
  • Mats Wieffer 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Flynn Downes 12'
  • yellowcard Kyle Walker-Peters 31'
  • yellowcard Taylor Harwood-Bellis 55'
  • goal Flynn Downes 59'
  • yellowcard Russell Martin 62'
  • yellowcard Tyler Obling 90'+12'
Premier League Gameweek 37
May 21, 2023 2.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Evan Ferguson 29' goal
  • Evan Ferguson 40' goal
  • Pascal Gross 69' goal
  • goal Mohamed Elyounoussi 58'
Premier League Gameweek 17
Dec 26, 2022 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • James Ward-Prowse 73' goal
  • goal Adam Lallana 14'
  • goal Romain Perraud 35' (OG)
  • goal Solly March 56'
Premier League Gameweek 34
Apr 24, 2022 2.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Danny Welbeck 2' goal
  • Mohammed Salisu 44' goal
  • Marc Cucurella 45'+3' yellowcard
  • goal James Ward-Prowse 45'+4'
  • goal James Ward-Prowse 54'
Premier League Gameweek 15
Dec 4, 2021 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Armando Broja 29' goal
  • Nathan Tella 69' yellowcard
  • Mohammed Salisu 80' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Elyounoussi 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Oriol Romeu 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Shane Duffy 45'
  • yellowcard Yves Bissouma 74'
  • goal Neal Maupay 90'+8'
Premier League Gameweek 28
Mar 14, 2021 12.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Che Adams 27' goal
  • goal Lewis Dunk 16'
  • goal Leandro Trossard 56'

Build-up

Head to head
Predicted Lineups