Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.49%) and 2-0 (5.58%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Southampton |
| 41.85% ( | 23.05% ( | 35.1% ( |
| Both teams to score 64.77% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.56% ( | 36.44% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.42% ( | 58.58% ( |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.05% ( | 17.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.22% ( | 48.78% ( |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.94% ( | 21.06% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.13% ( | 53.87% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Southampton |
| 2-1 @ 8.69% ( 1-0 @ 6.49% ( 2-0 @ 5.58% ( 3-1 @ 4.97% ( 3-2 @ 3.87% ( 3-0 @ 3.19% 4-1 @ 2.14% ( 4-2 @ 1.66% ( 4-0 @ 1.37% ( Other @ 3.89% Total : 41.85% | 1-1 @ 10.11% ( 2-2 @ 6.77% ( 0-0 @ 3.78% ( 3-3 @ 2.01% ( Other @ 0.38% Total : 23.04% | 1-2 @ 7.88% ( 0-1 @ 5.89% ( 0-2 @ 4.59% ( 1-3 @ 4.09% ( 2-3 @ 3.51% ( 0-3 @ 2.38% ( 1-4 @ 1.59% ( 2-4 @ 1.37% ( 0-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.87% Total : 35.1% |