FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round

Jan 12, 2025 at 3pm UK

Portman Road Stadium

Ipswich
3 - 0
Bristol Rovers

Phillips (18'), Clarke (24'), Taylor (37')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Ward (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Ipswich Town and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ipswich Town

All competitions

Last Game: Fulham 2-2 Ipswich
Sunday, January 5 at 2pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Bristol Rovers

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Cambridge 0-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, January 4 at 12.30pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 48.8%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 27.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Ipswich Town	Draw	Bristol Rovers
48.8% ( 0.98)	23.78% ( -0.32)	27.42% ( -0.66)

Both teams to score 58.02% (

0.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.42% (

0.98)

43.57% (

-0.98)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.03% (

0.95)

65.97% (

-0.96)

Ipswich Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.01% (

0.77)

17.99% (

-0.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.15% (

1.3)

48.85% (

-1.3)

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.74% (

0.03)

29.26% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.78% (

0.03)

65.22% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Ipswich Town 48.8%

Bristol Rovers 27.43%

Draw 23.77%

Ipswich Town	Draw	Bristol Rovers
2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 9.03% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.44% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 2.33% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.63% Total : 48.8%	1-1 @ 11.09% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.23) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.77%	1-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 6.47% ( -0.28) 0-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.35% Total : 27.43%