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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Wrexham |
| 32.44% ( | 27.1% ( | 40.46% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.03% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.77% ( | 55.23% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.54% ( | 76.46% ( |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.33% ( | 31.67% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.92% ( | 68.08% ( |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.21% ( | 26.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.93% ( | 62.07% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Wrexham |
| 1-0 @ 9.75% ( 2-1 @ 7.39% ( 2-0 @ 5.61% ( 3-1 @ 2.83% ( 3-0 @ 2.15% ( 3-2 @ 1.87% ( Other @ 2.85% Total : 32.44% | 1-1 @ 12.84% ( 0-0 @ 8.48% ( 2-2 @ 4.87% ( Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.09% | 0-1 @ 11.17% ( 1-2 @ 8.46% ( 0-2 @ 7.36% ( 1-3 @ 3.72% ( 0-3 @ 3.23% ( 2-3 @ 2.14% ( 1-4 @ 1.22% ( 0-4 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 2.09% Total : 40.45% |