League One

League One | Gameweek 18

Dec 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

SToK Cae Ras

Wrexham
1 - 0
Barnsley

Rathbone (90+2')
McClean (72'), Dobson (75'), James (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Russell (47'), O'Keeffe (72'), Connell (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Wrexham and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Wrexham 1-0 Lincoln
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Barnsley

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Barnsley 0-0 Bristol Rovers (3-4 pen.)
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 49.48%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 26.55% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
Wrexham	Draw	Barnsley
49.48% ( 4.17)	23.97% ( -0.71)	26.55% ( -3.45)

Both teams to score 56.6% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.9% (

0.96)

45.1% (

-0.96)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.55% (

0.91)

67.45% (

-0.91)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.69% (

2.1)

18.31% (

-2.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.6% (

3.45)

49.4% (

-3.45)

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.29% (

-2)

30.71% (

2.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.03% (

-2.44)

66.97% (

2.44)

Score Analysis

Wrexham 49.48%

Barnsley 26.55%

Draw 23.97%

Wrexham	Draw	Barnsley
2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.33) 1-0 @ 9.55% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.71) 3-1 @ 5.41% ( 0.52) 3-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.67) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 2.3% ( 0.36) 4-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.39) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.14) Other @ 3.46% Total : 49.48%	1-1 @ 11.27% ( -0.35) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.23) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.97%	1-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.6) 0-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.67) 0-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.64) 1-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.4) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.36) Other @ 2.96% Total : 26.55%