/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fwrelog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fbarlo.png)
-
James McClean
72'
-
George Dobson
75'
-
Matty James
86'
-
Oliver Rathbone
90'+2'
-
Jon Russell
47'
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Corey O'Keeffe
72'
-
Luca Connell
85'
Wrexham vs Barnsley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F45%2Follie-palmer.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 49.48%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 26.55% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
Result
Wrexham
49.48%
▲
(+4.17)
Draw
23.97%
▼
(-0.72)
Barnsley
26.55%
▼
(-3.46)
Both Teams to Score:
56.6%
▼
(-0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5
54.9%
▲
(+0.97)
Under 2.5
45.1%
▼
(-0.96)
Over 3.5
32.55%
▲
(+0.92)
Under 3.5
67.45%
▼
(-0.92)
Over 4.5
16.47%
▲
(+0.66)
Under 4.5
83.53%
▼
(-0.66)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5
81.69%
▲
(+2.11)
Under 0.5
18.31%
▼
(-2.10)
Over 1.5
50.6%
▲
(+3.45)
Under 1.5
49.4%
▼
(-3.45)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5
69.29%
▼
(-2.01)
Under 0.5
30.71%
▲
(+2.01)
Over 1.5
33.03%
▼
(-2.44)
Under 1.5
66.97%
▲
(+2.44)
Score analysis
Wrexham
49.48%
Draw
23.97%
Barnsley
26.55%
Wrexham
2-1
@
9.57%
▲
(+0.34)
1-0 @ 9.55% ▲ (+0.24)
2-0 @ 8.1% ▲ (+0.71)
3-1 @ 5.41% ▲ (+0.53)
3-0 @ 4.59% ▲ (+0.67)
3-2 @ 3.2% ▲ (+0.15)
4-1 @ 2.3% ▲ (+0.36)
4-0 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.39)
4-2 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.15)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 49.48%
1-0 @ 9.55% ▲ (+0.24)
2-0 @ 8.1% ▲ (+0.71)
3-1 @ 5.41% ▲ (+0.53)
3-0 @ 4.59% ▲ (+0.67)
3-2 @ 3.2% ▲ (+0.15)
4-1 @ 2.3% ▲ (+0.36)
4-0 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.39)
4-2 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.15)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 49.48%
Draw
1-1
@
11.27%
▼
(-0.35)
2-2 @ 5.65% ▼ (-0.12)
0-0 @ 5.62% ▼ (-0.24)
3-3 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.97%
2-2 @ 5.65% ▼ (-0.12)
0-0 @ 5.62% ▼ (-0.24)
3-3 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.97%
Barnsley
1-2
@
6.65%
▼
(-0.60)
0-1 @ 6.64% ▼ (-0.68)
0-2 @ 3.92% ▼ (-0.65)
1-3 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.40)
2-3 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.18)
0-3 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.36)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 26.55%
0-1 @ 6.64% ▼ (-0.68)
0-2 @ 3.92% ▼ (-0.65)
1-3 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.40)
2-3 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.18)
0-3 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.36)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 26.55%