Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 42.79%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-0 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Wigan Athletic in this match.