Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 36.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.68%) and 0-2 (5.79%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 2-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.