League One Gameweek 15
Nov 8, 2024 7.15pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Oakwell Stadium
  • Jon Russell 32' goal
  • Stephen Humphrys 86' goal
  • Luca Connell 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Liam Kelly 76'

Barnsley vs Rotherham United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnsley

All competitions
Last game
Oct 26, 2024 3.00pm
Shrewsbury 0 - 2 Barnsley
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
Davis Keillor-Dunn

Rotherham United

All competitions
Last game
Oct 26, 2024 3.00pm
Rotherham 2 - 0 Stevenage
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Sam Nombe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 38.4%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 36.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result

Barnsley 36.82% (-0.11)
Draw 24.77% (-0.08)
Rotherham United 38.4% (+0.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.57% (+0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.38% (+0.36)
Under 2.5 44.61% (-0.36)
Over 3.5 33.02% (+0.35)
Under 3.5 66.98% (-0.35)
Over 4.5 16.81% (+0.25)
Under 4.5 83.19% (-0.26)

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5 76.11% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 23.88% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 41.91% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 58.08% (-0.16)

Rotherham United Goals

Over 0.5 76.94% (+0.26)
Under 0.5 23.05% (-0.26)
Over 1.5 43.11% (+0.38)
Under 1.5 56.88% (-0.38)

Score analysis

Barnsley 36.83%
Draw 24.77%
Rotherham United 38.4%
Barnsley
2-1 @ 8.28% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 7.89% (-0.10)
2-0 @ 5.65% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 3.95% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.9% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.7% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.42% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.04% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 36.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.56% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 6.08% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 5.51% (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.42% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.77%
Rotherham United
1-2 @ 8.49% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 8.08% (-0.07)
0-2 @ 5.93% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.15% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.97% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 2.9% (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.52% (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1.09% (+0.03)
0-4 @ 1.06% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 38.4%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 44
Apr 24, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Oakwell Stadium
  • Carlton Morris 2' goal
  • Toby Sibbick 65' yellowcard
  • Aapo Halme 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Shaun MacDonald 28'
  • yellowcard Richard Wood 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Angus MacDonald 54'
Championship Gameweek 22
Dec 29, 2020 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT AESSEAL New York Stadium
  • Michael Smith 57' goal
  • Jamie Lindsay 69' yellowcard
  • Richard Wood 77' yellowcard
  • Michael Smith 81' yellowcard
  • goal Cauley Woodrow 8'
  • goal Alex Mowatt 15'
  • yellowcard Michael Sollbauer 56'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 29, 2017 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jamie Proctor 67' goal
  • Jamie Proctor 73' goal
  • Jamie Proctor 75' goal
  • Kieffer Moore 91' goal
Championship
Jan 28, 2017 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Joe Mattock 16' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryan Kent 25'
  • goal Adam Armstrong 70'
Championship
Aug 27, 2016 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Marc Roberts 54' goal
  • Josh Scowen 55' yellowcard
  • Adam Hammill 57' goal
  • Tom Bradshaw 86' goal
  • Ryan Kent 91' goal
  • yellowcard Joe Newell 91'
League One
Nov 19, 2005 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Marc Richards 35' yellowcard
  • Jacob Burns 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Deon Burton 7'
  • yellowcard Paul Evans 30'
  • goal Shaun Barker 31'
  • yellowcard Colin Murdock 52'
  • redcard Deon Burton 56'
  • yellowcard Lee Williamson 76'
  • yellowcard David Worrell 79'
  • redcard Lee Williamson 85'
  • redcard Colin Murdock 90'