Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 38%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.