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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 38%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 34.45% ( | 27.55% ( | 38% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.07% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.38% ( | 56.62% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.41% ( | 77.59% ( |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.96% ( | 31.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.65% ( | 67.35% ( |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.16% ( | 28.84% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.3% ( | 64.7% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.47% ( 2-1 @ 7.62% ( 2-0 @ 6.13% ( 3-1 @ 2.97% ( 3-0 @ 2.39% ( 3-2 @ 1.85% ( Other @ 3.03% Total : 34.45% | 1-1 @ 13.02% ( 0-0 @ 8.95% ( 2-2 @ 4.74% ( Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.55% | 0-1 @ 11.13% ( 1-2 @ 8.1% ( 0-2 @ 6.92% ( 1-3 @ 3.36% ( 0-3 @ 2.87% ( 2-3 @ 1.96% ( 1-4 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 2.63% Total : 38% |