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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for Reading had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.68%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Barnsley | Draw | Reading |
| 43.74% ( | 23.73% ( | 32.52% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.34% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.42% ( | 40.58% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.04% ( | 62.96% ( |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.15% ( | 18.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.69% ( | 50.3% ( |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.59% ( | 24.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.16% ( | 58.84% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnsley | Draw | Reading |
| 2-1 @ 9.03% 1-0 @ 7.68% ( 2-0 @ 6.41% ( 3-1 @ 5.03% ( 3-0 @ 3.56% 3-2 @ 3.54% ( 4-1 @ 2.1% ( 4-0 @ 1.49% ( 4-2 @ 1.48% ( Other @ 3.43% Total : 43.74% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( 2-2 @ 6.37% ( 0-0 @ 4.6% ( 3-3 @ 1.67% ( Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.73% | 1-2 @ 7.63% 0-1 @ 6.49% ( 0-2 @ 4.58% ( 1-3 @ 3.59% ( 2-3 @ 2.99% ( 0-3 @ 2.15% 1-4 @ 1.27% ( 2-4 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 2.78% Total : 32.52% |