League One

League One | Gameweek 17

Nov 23, 2024 at 3pm UK

SToK Cae Ras

Wrexham
3 - 0
Exeter

Cleworth (7'), Palmer (25'), Rathbone (72')
Rathbone (4')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Watts (40'), Aitchison (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Wrexham and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Stockport 1-0 Wrexham
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Exeter City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Exeter 0-0 Lincoln
Saturday, November 16 at 12.30pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 53.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 22.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Exeter City win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
Wrexham	Draw	Exeter City
53.17% ( -0.11)	24.13% ( -0)	22.69% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 51.95% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.71% (

0.13)

49.29% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.65% (

0.12)

71.34% (

-0.12)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.52% (

0.01)

18.48% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.32% (

0.02)

49.68% (

-0.02)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.73% (

0.18)

36.26% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.95% (

0.18)

73.05% (

-0.18)

Score Analysis

Wrexham 53.17%

Exeter City 22.69%

Draw 24.13%

Wrexham	Draw	Exeter City
1-0 @ 11.31% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.69% 2-0 @ 9.55% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.46% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.3% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.28% Total : 53.17%	1-1 @ 11.47% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.13%	0-1 @ 6.8% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.83% Total : 22.69%