League One Gameweek 17
Nov 23, 2024 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT SToK Cae Ras
  • Oliver Rathbone 4' yellowcard
  • Max Cleworth 7' goal
  • Ollie Palmer 25' goal
  • Oliver Rathbone 72' goal
  • yellowcard Caleb Watts 40'
  • yellowcard Jack Aitchison 51'

Wrexham vs Exeter City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions
Last game
Nov 16, 2024 3.00pm
Stockport 1 - 0 Wrexham
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Elliot Lee

Exeter City

All competitions
Last game
Nov 16, 2024 12.30pm
Exeter 0 - 0 Lincoln
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Millenic Alli

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 53.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 22.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Exeter City win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result

Wrexham 53.17% (-0.11)
Draw 24.13% (-0.01)
Exeter City 22.69% (+0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.95% (+0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.71% (+0.14)
Under 2.5 49.29% (-0.14)
Over 3.5 28.65% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 71.34% (-0.13)
Over 4.5 13.75% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 86.24% (-0.09)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5 81.52% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 18.48% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 50.32% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 49.68% (-0.02)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5 63.73% (+0.19)
Under 0.5 36.26% (-0.19)
Over 1.5 26.95% (+0.19)
Under 1.5 73.05% (-0.19)

Score analysis

Wrexham 53.17%
Draw 24.13%
Exeter City 22.69%
Wrexham
1-0 @ 11.31% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 9.69%
2-0 @ 9.55% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 5.46% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.38% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.77% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.3% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.27% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.17% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 53.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.47% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.7% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.92% (+0.03)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 24.13%
Exeter City
0-1 @ 6.8% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.82% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.45% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.97% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.66% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.17% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 22.69%