League One

League One | Gameweek 15

Nov 9, 2024 at 3pm UK

St James Park

Exeter
1 - 0
Charlton

Crama (59')
Woods (22'), Aitchison (73'), Niskanen (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gillesphey (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Exeter 5-3 Barnet
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Charlton Athletic

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Southend 3-4 Charlton
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 43.91%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Exeter City in this match.

Result
Exeter City	Draw	Charlton Athletic
43.91% ( -0.07)	25.26% ( -0.02)	30.82% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 55.24% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.77% (

0.13)

48.22% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.62% (

0.12)

70.38% (

-0.12)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.06% (

0.02)

21.94% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.78% (

0.03)

55.22% (

-0.04)

Charlton Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.76% (

0.13)

29.23% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.81% (

0.16)

65.19% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Exeter City 43.91%

Charlton Athletic 30.82%

Draw 25.26%

Exeter City	Draw	Charlton Athletic
1-0 @ 9.73% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.59% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.42% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 43.91%	1-1 @ 11.96% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.26%	0-1 @ 7.89% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.36% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 30.82%