Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 52.88%. A win for Chelsea Under-21s had a probability of 25.7% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.87%) and 1-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Chelsea Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.