Charlton Athletic
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 29, 2024 at 7pm UK
The Valley

Charlton
3 - 0
Chelsea U21s

Leaburn (10', 52'), Campbell (90+4')
Rylah (23'), Edmonds-Green (26'), Edun (38'), Taylor (55'), Hylton (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Coelho (24'), Matos (38')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlton 2-2 Wrexham
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Chelsea U21s 3-1 Leicester U21s
Friday, October 25 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 52.88%. A win for Chelsea Under-21s had a probability of 25.7% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.87%) and 1-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Chelsea Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.

Result
Charlton AthleticDrawChelsea Under-21s
52.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)21.42% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)25.7% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 64.85% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.13% (0.015000000000001 0.02)33.87% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.28% (0.018000000000001 0.02)55.71% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.93% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)13.07% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.34% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)39.66% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Chelsea Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.6% (0.01400000000001 0.01)25.4% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.79% (0.015999999999998 0.02)60.21% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Charlton Athletic 52.88%
    Chelsea Under-21s 25.7%
    Draw 21.42%
Charlton AthleticDrawChelsea Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 6.87% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 6.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 6.39%
3-0 @ 4.66% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 4.38% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 3.25%
4-0 @ 2.37%
4-2 @ 2.23% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-1 @ 1.32%
4-3 @ 1.02%
5-0 @ 0.97%
5-2 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 52.88%
1-1 @ 9.26% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-2 @ 6.45% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 3.32% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-3 @ 2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 21.42%
1-2 @ 6.34% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 4.55% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.12%
2-3 @ 2.95% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.9% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.42%
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 25.7%