FA Cup
Nov 2, 2024 3.00pm
5
3
HT : 1 1
FT St James Park
  • Josh Magennis 13' goal
  • Ryan Woods 49' yellowcard
  • Josh Magennis 76' goal
  • Josh Magennis 85' goal
  • Jay Bird 90'+6' goal
  • Kami Doyle 90'+11' goal
  • goal Ryan Glover 39'
  • goal Zak Brunt 59'
  • yellowcard Idris Kanu 67'
  • goal Nicke Kabamba 78'
  • yellowcard Ben Coker 85'
  • yellowcard Ryan Glover 85'
  • yellowcard Bailey Hobson 90'+4'

Exeter City vs Barnet - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions

Barnet

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 46.83%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Barnet win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result

Exeter City 46.83% (-0.01)
Draw 24.13% (+0.01)
Barnet 29.03% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.99% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.85% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 44.15% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 33.47% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 66.53% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 17.13% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 82.86% (+0.01)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5 81% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 19% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 49.45% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 50.55% (+0.02)

Barnet Goals

Over 0.5 71.59% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 28.4% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 35.84% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 64.16% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Exeter City 46.83%
Draw 24.14%
Barnet 29.03%
Exeter City
2-1 @ 9.37%
1-0 @ 8.96% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.44%
3-1 @ 5.19% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.12%
3-2 @ 3.26% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.15% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.71% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 46.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.28% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.9% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.4% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.14%
Barnet
1-2 @ 7.1%
0-1 @ 6.79% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.27% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.98%
2-3 @ 2.47% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.79%
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 29.03%

Head to Head

League Two
Dec 30, 2017 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Kane Wilson 30' goal
  • Dean Moxey 79' yellowcard
  • Jake Taylor 90' goal
  • goal Ryan Watson 69'
League Two
Sep 12, 2017 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Shaquile Coulthirst 48' goal
  • Craig Ross 95' yellowcard
  • goal Reuben Reid 77'
  • yellowcard Jordan Tillson 80'
  • yellowcard Hiram Boateng 89'
  • goal Jayden Stockley 94'
League Two
Apr 14, 2017 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Jordan Moore-Taylor 4' goal
  • David Wheeler 6' goal
  • Reuben Reid 32' yellowcard
  • Ethan Ampadu 62' yellowcard
  • goal John Akinde 69'
  • yellowcard Jamal Campbell-Ryce 88'
League Two
Oct 15, 2016 3.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 1
FT
  • John Akinde 11' goal
  • John Akinde 18' yellowcard
  • Ryan Watson 70' yellowcard
  • Harry Taylor 77' yellowcard
  • goal Jake Taylor 43'
  • goal Lee Holmes 50'
  • goal David Wheeler 56'
  • yellowcard Jake Taylor 67'
  • goal Reuben Reid 81'
League Two
Mar 25, 2016 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Jayden Stockley 20' goal
  • Troy Brown 67' yellowcard
  • goal Curtis Weston 27'
League Two
Oct 31, 2015 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Troy Brown 34' goal
  • John Akinde 44' yellowcard
  • Josh Clarke 54' goal
  • Luke Gambin 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Troy Brown 4'
  • yellowcard Danny Butterfield 31'