MX23RW : Saturday, December 7 12:14:11| >> :600:404971:404971:
Exeter City
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Barnet

Exeter
5 - 3
Barnet

Magennis (13', 76' pen., 85' pen.), Bird (90+6'), Doyle (90+11')
Woods (49')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Glover (39'), Brunt (59'), Kabamba (78')
Kanu (67'), Coker (85'), Glover (85'), Hobson (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Exeter City and Barnet, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 2-3 Exeter
Tuesday, October 29 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Barnet 2-1 Rochdale
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in National League

We said: Exeter City 3-1 Barnet

Exeter competes two divisions higher than their visitors, and while Barnet are likely to give the hosts a difficult test, we expect the hosts to eventually secure the win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 46.83%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Barnet win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawBarnet
46.83% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01) 24.13% (0.0010000000000012 0) 29.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 57.99% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.85% (-0.012 -0.01)44.15% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.47% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)66.53% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.45% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)50.55% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Barnet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.59% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)28.4% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.84% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)64.16% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 46.83%
    Barnet 29.03%
    Draw 24.14%
Exeter CityDrawBarnet
2-1 @ 9.37%
1-0 @ 8.96% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 7.44%
3-1 @ 5.19% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.12%
3-2 @ 3.26% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 2.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.71% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 46.83%
1-1 @ 11.28% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.9% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.4% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.14%
1-2 @ 7.1%
0-1 @ 6.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.27% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.98%
2-3 @ 2.47% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 1.79%
1-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 29.03%

How you voted: Exeter vs Barnet

Exeter City
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Barnet
0.0%
15
Head to Head
Dec 30, 2017 3pm
Exeter
2-1
Barnet
Wilson (30'), Taylor (90')
Moxey (79')
Watson (69')
Sep 12, 2017 8pm
Barnet
1-2
Exeter
Coulthirst (48')
Ross (95')
Reid (77'), Stockley (94')
Tillson (80'), Boateng (89')
Apr 14, 2017 3pm
Oct 15, 2016 3pm
Barnet
1-4
Exeter
Akinde (11')
Akinde (18'), Watson (70'), Taylor (77')
Taylor (43'), Holmes (50'), Wheeler (56'), Reid (81' pen.)
Taylor (67')
Mar 25, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
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