National League | Gameweek 15

Oct 22, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Dwight Yorke Stadium

York City
3 - 1
Barnet

Armstrong (45+2'), Hunt (74'), Pearce (76')
Harriott (35'), Fallowfield (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Hobson (37')

Coverage of the National League clash between York City and Barnet.

Form, Standings, Stats

York City

All competitions

National League

Last Game: York City 4-0 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Barnet

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Solihull 4-3 Barnet
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 33.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Barnet win was 0-1 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.

Result
York City	Draw	Barnet
40.59% ( 4.87)	26.18% ( 0.4)	33.23% ( -5.27)

Both teams to score 53.14% (

-1.79)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.65% (

-2.09)

51.35% (

2.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.83% (

-1.86)

73.17% (

1.86)

York City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.06% (

1.72)

24.94% (

-1.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.43% (

2.34)

59.57% (

-2.33)

Barnet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.8% (

-4.1)

29.2% (

4.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.85% (

-5.35)

65.15% (

5.35)

Score Analysis

York City 40.59%

Barnet 33.23%

Draw 26.17%

York City	Draw	Barnet
1-0 @ 10.11% ( 1.26) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.56) 2-0 @ 7.02% ( 1.18) 3-1 @ 4% ( 0.44) 3-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.67) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.21) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.28) Other @ 2.58% Total : 40.59%	1-1 @ 12.44% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.59) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.27) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.17%	0-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.29) 1-2 @ 7.66% ( -0.79) 0-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.88) 1-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.75) 0-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.68) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.39) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.38) Other @ 2.53% Total : 33.23%