Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 59.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 18.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Eastleigh win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| York City | Draw | Eastleigh |
| 59.53% ( | 22.38% ( | 18.09% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.37% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.14% ( | 47.86% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.96% ( | 70.04% ( |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.31% ( | 15.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.24% ( | 44.76% ( |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.75% ( | 40.25% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.12% ( | 76.88% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| York City | Draw | Eastleigh |
| 1-0 @ 11.69% ( 2-0 @ 10.83% ( 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 3-0 @ 6.69% ( 3-1 @ 6.09% ( 4-0 @ 3.1% ( 4-1 @ 2.82% ( 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 4-2 @ 1.28% ( 5-0 @ 1.15% ( 5-1 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 2.22% Total : 59.52% | 1-1 @ 10.64% ( 0-0 @ 6.32% ( 2-2 @ 4.49% ( Other @ 0.93% Total : 22.38% | 0-1 @ 5.75% ( 1-2 @ 4.85% ( 0-2 @ 2.62% ( 1-3 @ 1.47% ( 2-3 @ 1.36% ( Other @ 2.05% Total : 18.09% |