Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Boreham Wood
Braintree Town
Carlisle United
Eastleigh
Forest Green Rovers
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Morecambe
Rochdale
Scunthorpe United
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Eastleigh
National League | Gameweek 10
Sep 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
Silverlake Stadium
Rochdale

Eastleigh
4 - 2
Rochdale

McCallum (22', 77' pen.), Francillette (35'), Maguire (60')
Shade (39'), McDonnell (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Mitchell (6'), Rodney (71')
Beckwith (34'), Robson (42'), Burger (62'), Mitchell (75'), Gilmour (90+6')
Coverage of the National League clash between Eastleigh and Rochdale.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Halifax 3-1 Eastleigh
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Rochdale 1-2 Solihull
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 42.54%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 31.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 1-0 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
EastleighDrawRochdale
31.82% (-0.02 -0.02)25.63% (0.023 0.02)42.54% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.45% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.55% (-0.105 -0.1)49.45% (0.103 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.51% (-0.096 -0.1)71.49% (0.093999999999994 0.09)
Eastleigh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.82% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)29.18% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.88% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)65.12% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.88% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)23.12% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.02% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)56.97% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Eastleigh 31.82%
    Rochdale 42.54%
    Draw 25.63%
EastleighDrawRochdale
1-0 @ 8.31% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.08% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.1% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 0.95% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 31.82%
1-1 @ 12.16% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.74% (0.028 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.49% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.63%
0-1 @ 9.88% (0.028 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 7.23% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.35% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.53% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.68% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.59% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.29% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 42.54%

Head to Head
Mar 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 40
Eastleigh
1-4
Rochdale
McCallum (31')
Nwabuokei (56')
Mitchell (28', 79'), Keohane (44'), Rodney (71')
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Rochdale
2-0
Eastleigh
Henderson (10'), Mitchell (45+3')
Ebanks-Landell (29'), John (59')

Nwabuokei (19'), Clampin (35'), Carter (45'), Taylor (52'), Boldewijn (80')