Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 42.54%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 31.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 1-0 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Eastleigh | Draw | Rochdale |
| 31.82% ( | 25.63% ( | 42.54% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.45% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.55% ( | 49.45% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.51% ( | 71.49% ( |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.82% ( | 29.18% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.88% ( | 65.12% ( |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.88% ( | 23.12% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.02% ( | 56.97% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Eastleigh | Draw | Rochdale |
| 1-0 @ 8.31% ( 2-1 @ 7.49% ( 2-0 @ 5.12% ( 3-1 @ 3.08% ( 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 3-0 @ 2.1% ( 4-1 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.53% Total : 31.82% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( 0-0 @ 6.74% ( 2-2 @ 5.49% ( 3-3 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.63% | 0-1 @ 9.88% ( 1-2 @ 8.91% ( 0-2 @ 7.23% ( 1-3 @ 4.35% ( 0-3 @ 3.53% ( 2-3 @ 2.68% ( 1-4 @ 1.59% ( 0-4 @ 1.29% ( 2-4 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.09% Total : 42.54% |