Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Aldershot Town | Draw | Rochdale |
40.1% ( -0.11) | 25.51% ( 0.01) | 34.39% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 55.67% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.78% ( -0.04) | 48.21% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.63% ( -0.03) | 70.37% ( 0.03) |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.21% ( -0.07) | 23.79% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.05% ( -0.1) | 57.94% ( 0.1) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.05% ( 0.04) | 26.95% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.71% ( 0.05) | 62.29% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Aldershot Town | Draw | Rochdale |
1-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.61% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.98% Total : 40.1% | 1-1 @ 12.07% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.5% | 0-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.46% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 3.08% Total : 34.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 13 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 12 | 16 | 30 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 27 |
3 | York City | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 26 |
4 | Gateshead | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 26 |
5 | Rochdale | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 24 |
6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 23 |
7 | Eastleigh | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 21 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 20 |
9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 19 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 18 |
11 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 18 |
12 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 18 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 17 |
14 | Woking | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 16 |
15 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 16 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 14 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 14 |
18 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 14 |
19 | Tamworth | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 14 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 13 |
21 | Fylde | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 12 |
22 | Boston UnitedBoston | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 9 |
23 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 8 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 6 |
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