National League | Gameweek 4

Aug 24, 2024 at 3pm UK

The EBB Stadium.

Aldershot
4 - 1
Oldham

Henry (38', 58'), Frost (68'), Widdrington (90+4' pen.)
Maghoma (67')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ogle (60')
Conlon (48'), Ogle (87')

Coverage of the National League clash between Aldershot Town and Oldham Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aldershot Town

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Braintree 2-1 Aldershot
Tuesday, August 20 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Oldham Athletic

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Oldham 1-1 Fylde
Tuesday, August 20 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 37.25%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 36.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aldershot Town would win this match.

Result
Aldershot Town	Draw	Oldham Athletic
37.25% ( -0.56)	26.12% ( -0.04)	36.62% ( 0.59)

Both teams to score 53.81% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.29% (

0.17)

50.7% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.39% (

0.15)

72.6% (

-0.15)

Aldershot Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.54% (

-0.23)

26.46% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.36% (

-0.31)

61.64% (

0.31)

Oldham Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.17% (

0.43)

26.82% (

-0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.88% (

0.56)

62.12% (

-0.56)

Score Analysis

Aldershot Town 37.25%

Oldham Athletic 36.62%

Draw 26.12%

Aldershot Town	Draw	Oldham Athletic
1-0 @ 9.44% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 8.26% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 6.27% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.3% Total : 37.25%	1-1 @ 12.41% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.1% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.12%	0-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.17% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.12% Total : 36.62%