National League | Gameweek 5

Aug 26, 2024 at 3pm UK

Huish Park Stadium

Yeovil
0 - 1
Rochdale

Jarvis (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

McBride (90+1')
Allarakhia (41'), Henry (48'), Ferguson (90+5'), Beckwith (90+8')

Coverage of the National League clash between Yeovil Town and Rochdale.

Form, Standings, Stats

Yeovil Town

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Gateshead 3-1 Yeovil
Saturday, August 24 at 12.30pm in National League

Goals
for

Rochdale

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Rochdale 0-0 Forest Green
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Yeovil Town win was 1-0 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rochdale in this match.

Result
Yeovil Town	Draw	Rochdale
34.66% ( -0.27)	26.06% ( 0.01)	39.28% ( 0.26)

Both teams to score 53.85% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.41% (

-0.06)

50.58% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.5% (

-0.06)

72.5% (

0.06)

Yeovil Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.07% (

-0.19)

27.93% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.45% (

-0.25)

63.55% (

0.25)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.71% (

0.11)

25.29% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.94% (

0.15)

60.05% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Yeovil Town 34.66%

Rochdale 39.28%

Draw 26.05%

Yeovil Town	Draw	Rochdale
1-0 @ 9.01% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.36% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.83% Total : 34.66%	1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.05%	0-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.51% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.68% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.9% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.54% Total : 39.28%