National League Gameweek 4
Aug 24, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Crown Oil Arena
  • yellowcard Liam Sercombe 66'

Rochdale vs Forest Green Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

All competitions
Last game
Aug 20, 2024 7.45pm
York City 1 - 0 Rochdale
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Devante Rodney

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Aug 20, 2024 7.45pm
Barnet 1 - 0 Forest Green
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
Christian Doidge

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 52.5%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 23.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result

Rochdale 52.5% (-0.12)
Draw 24.34% (+0.03)
Forest Green Rovers 23.15% (+0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.88% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.33% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 49.66% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 28.31% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 71.68% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 13.52% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 86.47% (+0.01)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5 81.12% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 18.88% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 49.65% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 50.35% (+0.08)

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 63.95% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 36.04% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 27.17% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 72.82% (-0.09)

Score analysis

Rochdale 52.5%
Draw 24.33%
Forest Green Rovers 23.15%
Rochdale
1-0 @ 11.34% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.46% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 5.36% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.26% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.74%
4-1 @ 2.24% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.19% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 52.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.57% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.8% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.92% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 24.33%
Forest Green Rovers
0-1 @ 6.94% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 5.91% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.54% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.01% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.68% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.21% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 23.15%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 31
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Baily Cargill 61' yellowcard
  • Jack Aitchison 73' goal
  • Mathew Stevens 86' goal
  • goal Jimmy Ball 47'
  • yellowcard Tahvon Campbell 64'
League Two Gameweek 3
Aug 17, 2021 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Crown Oil Arena
  • Corey O'Keeffe 22' yellowcard
  • Alex Newby 48' goal
  • goal Jamille Matt 33'
  • goal Mathew Stevens 49'