National League | Gameweek 3

Aug 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

The Hive Stadium

Barnet
1 - 0
Forest Green

Brunt (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Long (45+1'), Robson (71'), Osadebe (74'), (74')
Long (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between Barnet and Forest Green Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnet

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Ebbsfleet 1-2 Barnet
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Boston 0-4 Forest Green
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 46.68%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 28.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Barnet in this match.

Result
Barnet	Draw	Forest Green Rovers
46.68% ( -1.91)	24.49% ( 0.74)	28.83% ( 1.18)

Both teams to score 56.65% (

-1.63)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.15% (

-2.54)

45.84% (

2.54)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.84% (

-2.46)

68.15% (

2.45)

Barnet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.26% (

-1.77)

19.73% (

1.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.24% (

-2.96)

51.76% (

2.95)

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.59% (

-0.46)

29.41% (

0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.59% (

-0.57)

65.4% (

0.56)

Score Analysis

Barnet 46.68%

Forest Green Rovers 28.83%

Draw 24.48%

Barnet	Draw	Forest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 9.42% ( 0.49) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.06% ( -0.38) 3-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.25) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.27) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.28) 4-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.21) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.19) Other @ 2.99% Total : 46.68%	1-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.46) 0-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.6) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.17) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.48%	0-1 @ 7.1% ( 0.66) 1-2 @ 7.05% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.35) 1-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.12) Other @ 3.34% Total : 28.83%