Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 37.35%. A win for York City had a probability of 36.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest York City win was 1-0 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| York City | Draw | Rochdale |
| 36.17% ( | 26.47% ( | 37.35% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.64% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.8% ( | 52.19% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.09% ( | 73.9% ( |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.21% ( | 27.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.62% ( | 63.37% ( |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.9% ( | 27.1% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.51% ( | 62.49% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| York City | Draw | Rochdale |
| 1-0 @ 9.64% ( 2-1 @ 8.06% ( 2-0 @ 6.18% ( 3-1 @ 3.44% ( 3-0 @ 2.64% ( 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 4-1 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 2.87% Total : 36.17% | 1-1 @ 12.59% 0-0 @ 7.53% ( 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 3-3 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.47% | 0-1 @ 9.83% ( 1-2 @ 8.22% ( 0-2 @ 6.42% ( 1-3 @ 3.58% 0-3 @ 2.79% ( 2-3 @ 2.29% 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.14% Total : 37.35% |