Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Boreham Wood
Braintree Town
Carlisle United
Eastleigh
Forest Green Rovers
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Morecambe
Rochdale
Scunthorpe United
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
National League | Gameweek 3
Aug 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Lner Community Stadium
Rochdale

York City
1 - 0
Rochdale

Aguiar (4')
Howe (54'), Armstrong (62'), O'Connor (69'), Hunt (76'), John-Lewis (84'), Male (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between York City and Rochdale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: York City 2-0 Tamworth
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Rochdale 1-1 Dag & Red
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 37.35%. A win for York City had a probability of 36.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest York City win was 1-0 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
York CityDrawRochdale
36.17% (0.012 0.01)26.47% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)37.35% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 52.64% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.8% (0.012 0.01)52.19% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.09% (0.010000000000002 0.01)73.9% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
York City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.21% (0.012 0.01)27.79% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.62% (0.018000000000001 0.02)63.37% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.9% (0.00099999999999056 0)27.1% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.51% (0.0010000000000048 0)62.49% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    York City 36.17%
    Rochdale 37.35%
    Draw 26.47%
York CityDrawRochdale
1-0 @ 9.64% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 8.06% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 6.18% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.44% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.64% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.25% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.1% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 36.17%
1-1 @ 12.59%
0-0 @ 7.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.26% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.47%
0-1 @ 9.83% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 8.22% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-2 @ 6.42% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 3.58%
0-3 @ 2.79% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.29%
1-4 @ 1.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 37.35%

How you voted: York City vs Rochdale

York City
27.3%
Draw
50.0%
Rochdale
22.7%
22
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 24
Rochdale
0-0
York City
Keohane (17'), Ebanks-Landell (24'), Gilmour (40')
Woodyard (41')
Aug 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
York City
1-3
Rochdale
Crookes (45+11')
Batty (11'), Howe (35'), Cordner (36'), Fallowfield (53'), Dyson (81')
Crookes (52')
Sinclair (36' pen., 53'), Henderson (87')
Oduroh (45+6'), John (45+5'), Taylor (85'), Moulden (90+6')
Apr 5, 2014 3pm
Nov 30, 2013 3pm
York City
0-0
Rochdale
Jarvis (18'), Lowe (43'), O'Neill (89')
Tutte (65'), Done (76'), Rose (84')
Mar 12, 2013 7.45pm