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Sutton United
Wealdstone
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Yeovil Town
National League | Gameweek 2
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
Lner Community Stadium

York City
2 - 0
Tamworth

Pearce (54' pen.), Chadwick (56')
Sinclair (30'), John (51')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Morrison (35'), Cullinane-Liburd (54'), Singh (55'), Finn (63'), Tonks (88')
Coverage of the National League clash between York City and Tamworth.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southend 1-1 York City
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Tamworth 1-1 Sutton
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 39.81%. A win for Tamworth had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Tamworth win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.

Result
York CityDrawTamworth
39.81% (-1.032 -1.03)25.15% (0.291 0.29)35.04% (0.735 0.73)
Both teams to score 57.02% (-0.869 -0.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.48% (-1.193 -1.19)46.52% (1.188 1.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.2% (-1.13 -1.13)68.79% (1.125 1.13)
York City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.81% (-1.033 -1.03)23.18% (1.027 1.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.93% (-1.529 -1.53)57.07% (1.523 1.52)
Tamworth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.23% (-0.137 -0.14)25.76% (0.13 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.29% (-0.183 -0.18)60.7% (0.176 0.18)
Score Analysis
    York City 39.81%
    Tamworth 35.04%
    Draw 25.15%
York CityDrawTamworth
1-0 @ 8.73% (0.172 0.17)
2-1 @ 8.65% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-0 @ 6.38% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.22% (-0.194 -0.19)
3-0 @ 3.11% (-0.131 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.143 -0.14)
4-1 @ 1.54% (-0.121 -0.12)
4-0 @ 1.14% (-0.085 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 39.81%
1-1 @ 11.84% (0.19 0.19)
0-0 @ 5.97% (0.294 0.29)
2-2 @ 5.87% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 8.1% (0.369 0.37)
1-2 @ 8.03% (0.099 0.1)
0-2 @ 5.49% (0.231 0.23)
1-3 @ 3.63% (0.031 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.65% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.48% (0.095 0.1)
1-4 @ 1.23% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 35.04%

rhs 2.0


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