National League | Gameweek 3

Aug 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Huish Park Stadium

Yeovil
3 - 2
Ebbsfleet

McGavin (25'), Smith (40'), Greenslade (81')
Nouble (45+6')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Page (65'), Samuel (67')
Dallison (45+5'), Domi (83'), Domi (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between Yeovil Town and Ebbsfleet, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Yeovil Town

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Braintree 0-1 Yeovil
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Ebbsfleet

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Ebbsfleet 1-2 Barnet
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yeovil Town win with a probability of 37.96%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 36.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Yeovil Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 1-2 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Yeovil Town would win this match.

Result
Yeovil Town	Draw	Ebbsfleet
37.96% ( -0.08)	25.13% ( -0)	36.9% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 57.29% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.73% (

0.01)

46.26% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.44% (

0.01)

68.55% (

-0.02)

Yeovil Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.97% (

-0.04)

24.02% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.71% (

-0.05)

58.28% (

0.05)

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.4% (

0.05)

24.59% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.91% (

0.07)

59.09% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Yeovil Town 37.96%

Ebbsfleet 36.9%

Draw 25.12%

Yeovil Town	Draw	Ebbsfleet
2-1 @ 8.43% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.43% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.01% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.86% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 1.98% Total : 37.96%	1-1 @ 11.81% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.12%	1-2 @ 8.29% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.88% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.88% Total : 36.9%