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National League | Gameweek 5
Aug 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Lamb Ground
Aldershot Town

Tamworth
3 - 2
Aldershot

Cullinane-Liburd (8'), Wreh (50'), Tshikuna (55')
Cullinane-Liburd (35'), Fairlamb (86'), Tshikuna (89'), Singh (90+3'), Acquaye (90+21')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Barham (32'), Henry (90+14')
Widdrington (43'), Mullins (44'), Jones (57')
Coverage of the National League clash between Tamworth and Aldershot Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tamworth

All competitions
National League
Last Game: Boston 1-1 Tamworth
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in National League

Aldershot Town

All competitions
National League
Last Game: Aldershot 4-1 Oldham
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Tamworth had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.85%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Tamworth win was 2-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
TamworthDrawAldershot Town
32.32% (0.0040000000000049 0)24.76% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)42.92% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.59% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.55% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)45.45% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.22% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)67.78% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Tamworth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.11%26.89% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.79% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)62.21% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Aldershot Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.77% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)21.23% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.88% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)54.13% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Tamworth 32.32%
    Aldershot Town 42.92%
    Draw 24.75%
TamworthDrawAldershot Town
2-1 @ 7.63%
1-0 @ 7.5% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 4.92% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.34%
3-2 @ 2.59%
3-0 @ 2.16%
4-1 @ 1.1%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 32.32%
1-1 @ 11.61%
2-2 @ 5.91%
0-0 @ 5.71% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.75%
1-2 @ 9.01%
0-1 @ 8.85%
0-2 @ 6.86% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 4.65% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 3.54% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 3.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.8%
0-4 @ 1.37%
2-4 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 42.92%