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National League | Gameweek 3
Aug 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Lamb Ground
Hartlepool United

Tamworth
0 - 1
Hartlepool


Tshikuna (60'), Acquaye (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Grey (82')
Dieseruvwe (8'), Stephenson (32'), Ferguson (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between Tamworth and Hartlepool United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: York City 2-0 Tamworth
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Tamworth had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Tamworth win was 1-0 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Hartlepool United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Hartlepool United.

Result
TamworthDrawHartlepool United
32.5% (0.145 0.15)25.38% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)42.12% (-0.124 -0.12)
Both teams to score 55.55% (0.137 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.87% (0.154 0.15)48.13% (-0.161 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.71% (0.142 0.14)70.29% (-0.149 -0.15)
Tamworth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.91% (0.16900000000001 0.17)28.08% (-0.176 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.25% (0.216 0.22)63.75% (-0.221 -0.22)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.25% (0.0049999999999955 0)22.75% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.57% (0.012 0.01)56.43% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Tamworth 32.5%
    Hartlepool United 42.12%
    Draw 25.38%
TamworthDrawHartlepool United
1-0 @ 8.11% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.63% (0.026 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.15% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.23% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.39% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.18% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.03% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 32.5%
1-1 @ 12.01% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.39% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.65% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 9.46% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 8.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.39% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-3 @ 3.46% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.79% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.63% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.28% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.03% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 42.12%

How you voted: Tamworth vs Hartlepool

Tamworth
16.7%
Draw
16.7%
Hartlepool United
66.7%
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