Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 47.23%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 27.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Southend United |
| 27.34% ( | 25.43% ( | 47.23% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.51% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.22% ( | 50.78% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.33% ( | 72.67% ( |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.9% ( | 33.09% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.31% ( | 69.69% ( |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.49% ( | 21.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.44% ( | 54.56% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Southend United |
| 1-0 @ 7.87% ( 2-1 @ 6.69% ( 2-0 @ 4.35% ( 3-1 @ 2.47% ( 3-2 @ 1.89% ( 3-0 @ 1.6% ( Other @ 2.46% Total : 27.34% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( 0-0 @ 7.12% ( 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 3-3 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.43% | 0-1 @ 10.93% ( 1-2 @ 9.29% ( 0-2 @ 8.4% ( 1-3 @ 4.76% ( 0-3 @ 4.31% ( 2-3 @ 2.63% ( 1-4 @ 1.83% ( 0-4 @ 1.65% ( 2-4 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.4% Total : 47.22% |