Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 54.88%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.16%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Chelmsford City win it was 1-0 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Southend United in this match.

Result
Chelmsford City	Draw	Southend United
21.1% ( 0.35)	24.01% ( -0.15)	54.88% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 50.25% (

0.94)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.48% (

50.51% (

-1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.56% (

0.87)

72.43% (

-0.88)

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.49% (

0.93)

38.5% (

-0.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.74% (

0.88)

75.25% (

-0.88)

Southend United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.71% (

0.3)

18.29% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.64% (

0.5)

49.35% (

-0.5)

Score Analysis

Chelmsford City 21.1%

Southend United 54.88%

Draw 24%

Chelmsford City	Draw	Southend United
1-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 5.45% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.73% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.5% Total : 21.1%	1-1 @ 11.41% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.92% Total : 24%	0-1 @ 11.96% ( -0.37) 0-2 @ 10.16% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 9.7% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 5.76% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 5.49% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 2.44% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.33% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.3% Total : 54.88%