Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 49.87%. A win for Tamworth had a probability of 26.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Tamworth win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eastleigh would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eastleigh | Draw | Tamworth |
| 49.87% ( | 23.36% ( | 26.77% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.89% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.83% ( | 42.17% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.43% ( | 64.58% ( |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.95% ( | 17.05% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.79% ( | 47.21% |
| Tamworth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71% ( | 29.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.09% ( | 64.91% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Eastleigh | Draw | Tamworth |
| 2-1 @ 9.58% 1-0 @ 8.75% ( 2-0 @ 7.74% ( 3-1 @ 5.65% 3-0 @ 4.56% ( 3-2 @ 3.5% ( 4-1 @ 2.5% 4-0 @ 2.02% ( 4-2 @ 1.55% ( Other @ 4.04% Total : 49.87% | 1-1 @ 10.82% 2-2 @ 5.93% ( 0-0 @ 4.95% ( 3-3 @ 1.44% ( Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.35% | 1-2 @ 6.7% ( 0-1 @ 6.12% 0-2 @ 3.79% ( 1-3 @ 2.76% ( 2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0-3 @ 1.56% ( Other @ 3.39% Total : 26.77% |