Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 50.14%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 26.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 2-1 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Eastleigh | Draw | Fylde |
| 26.14% ( | 23.72% ( | 50.14% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.06% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.68% ( | 44.32% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.31% ( | 66.7% ( |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.38% ( | 30.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.14% ( | 66.86% ( |
| Fylde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.24% ( | 17.76% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.55% ( | 48.45% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Eastleigh | Draw | Fylde |
| 2-1 @ 6.58% ( 1-0 @ 6.44% ( 2-0 @ 3.81% ( 3-1 @ 2.6% ( 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 3-0 @ 1.5% ( Other @ 2.97% Total : 26.14% | 1-1 @ 11.12% ( 2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0-0 @ 5.44% ( 3-3 @ 1.29% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.72% | 1-2 @ 9.61% ( 0-1 @ 9.4% ( 0-2 @ 8.12% ( 1-3 @ 5.54% ( 0-3 @ 4.68% ( 2-3 @ 3.28% 1-4 @ 2.39% ( 0-4 @ 2.02% ( 2-4 @ 1.42% ( Other @ 3.69% Total : 50.14% |