Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for York City had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest York City win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aldershot Town | Draw | York City |
| 43.74% ( | 24.82% ( | 31.44% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.01% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.96% ( | 46.05% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.65% ( | 68.35% ( |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.9% ( | 21.1% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.07% ( | 53.93% ( |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.26% ( | 27.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.69% ( | 63.32% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Aldershot Town | Draw | York City |
| 1-0 @ 9.11% ( 2-1 @ 9.09% ( 2-0 @ 7.09% ( 3-1 @ 4.71% ( 3-0 @ 3.68% ( 3-2 @ 3.02% ( 4-1 @ 1.83% ( 4-0 @ 1.43% ( 4-2 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 2.62% Total : 43.74% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( 0-0 @ 5.86% ( 2-2 @ 5.82% ( 3-3 @ 1.29% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.82% | 0-1 @ 7.51% ( 1-2 @ 7.49% ( 0-2 @ 4.81% ( 1-3 @ 3.2% ( 2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0-3 @ 2.06% ( 1-4 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.86% Total : 31.44% |