Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wealdstone win with a probability of 38.7%. A win for York City had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wealdstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest York City win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wealdstone | Draw | York City |
38.7% ( 0.05) | 26.03% ( -0.03) | 35.27% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 54.03% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.61% ( 0.11) | 50.38% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.67% ( 0.1) | 72.32% ( -0.1) |
Wealdstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.49% ( 0.08) | 25.5% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.64% ( 0.11) | 60.35% ( -0.11) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.53% ( 0.04) | 27.46% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.04% ( 0.05) | 62.95% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Wealdstone | Draw | York City |
1-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.54% 3-1 @ 3.85% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 38.7% | 1-1 @ 12.36% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.02% | 0-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.99% 0-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.44% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.52% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 2.95% Total : 35.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 13 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 12 | 16 | 30 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 27 |
3 | York City | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 26 |
4 | Gateshead | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 26 |
5 | Rochdale | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 24 |
6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 23 |
7 | Eastleigh | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 21 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 20 |
9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 19 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 18 |
11 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 18 |
12 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 18 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 17 |
14 | Woking | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 16 |
15 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 16 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 14 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 14 |
18 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 14 |
19 | Tamworth | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 14 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 13 |
21 | Fylde | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 12 |
22 | Boston UnitedBoston | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 9 |
23 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 8 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 6 |
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