Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Wealdstone |
| 42.29% ( | 25.39% ( | 32.32% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.44% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.75% ( | 48.25% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.6% ( | 70.4% ( |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.28% ( | 22.72% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.61% ( | 56.39% ( |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.74% ( | 28.26% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.02% ( | 63.97% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Wealdstone |
| 1-0 @ 9.52% ( 2-1 @ 8.91% ( 2-0 @ 7.05% ( 3-1 @ 4.4% ( 3-0 @ 3.48% ( 3-2 @ 2.78% ( 4-1 @ 1.63% ( 4-0 @ 1.29% ( 4-2 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.19% Total : 42.29% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0-0 @ 6.42% ( 2-2 @ 5.63% ( 3-3 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.39% | 0-1 @ 8.11% ( 1-2 @ 7.6% ( 0-2 @ 5.13% ( 1-3 @ 3.2% ( 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0-3 @ 2.16% ( 1-4 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.74% Total : 32.32% |