National League | Gameweek 3

Aug 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Grosvenor Vale

Wealdstone
0 - 1
Sutton

Mason (34'), Kretzschmar (86')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Waller (11')
Ransom (35'), Muller (63'), Coley (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between Wealdstone and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wealdstone

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Wealdstone 0-1 Oldham
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Sutton United

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Sutton 5-0 Altrincham
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 46.88%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-0 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sutton United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sutton United.

Result
Wealdstone	Draw	Sutton United
28.46% ( 0.11)	24.66% ( 0.04)	46.88% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 55.84% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.19% (

-0.09)

46.8% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.94% (

-0.08)

69.06% (

0.08)

Wealdstone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.83% (

0.03)

30.17% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.68% (

0.04)

66.32% (

-0.04)

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.96% (

-0.09)

20.04% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.75% (

-0.15)

52.25% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Wealdstone 28.46%

Sutton United 46.88%

Draw 24.65%

Wealdstone	Draw	Sutton United
1-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.14% Total : 28.46%	1-1 @ 11.64% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.65%	0-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.36% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.81% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 5.02% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.19% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.88% Total : 46.88%