Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 43.83%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 31.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-0 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sutton United | Draw | Altrincham |
| 31.09% ( | 25.08% ( | 43.83% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.96% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.66% ( | 47.34% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.44% ( | 69.56% ( |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.39% ( | 28.61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.58% ( | 64.42% ( |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.4% ( | 21.6% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.29% ( | 54.71% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sutton United | Draw | Altrincham |
| 1-0 @ 7.74% ( 2-1 @ 7.42% ( 2-0 @ 4.84% ( 3-1 @ 3.09% ( 3-2 @ 2.37% ( 3-0 @ 2.02% ( 4-1 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.65% Total : 31.09% | 1-1 @ 11.85% ( 0-0 @ 6.18% ( 2-2 @ 5.68% ( 3-3 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.08% | 0-1 @ 9.47% ( 1-2 @ 9.08% ( 0-2 @ 7.26% ( 1-3 @ 4.64% ( 0-3 @ 3.71% ( 2-3 @ 2.9% ( 1-4 @ 1.78% ( 0-4 @ 1.42% ( 2-4 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 2.46% Total : 43.83% |