Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wealdstone win with a probability of 52.93%. A win for Kings Langley had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wealdstone win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.51%) and 0-2 (6.02%). The likeliest Kings Langley win was 2-1 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wealdstone would win this match.