Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 46.65%. A win for York City had a probability of 28.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest York City win was 0-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sutton United | Draw | York City |
| 46.65% ( | 25.28% ( | 28.06% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.52% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.28% ( | 49.71% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.27% ( | 71.73% ( |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.67% ( | 21.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.72% ( | 54.27% ( |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.02% ( | 31.97% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.57% ( | 68.43% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sutton United | Draw | York City |
| 1-0 @ 10.53% ( 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 2-0 @ 8.14% ( 3-1 @ 4.78% ( 3-0 @ 4.19% ( 3-2 @ 2.73% ( 4-1 @ 1.85% ( 4-0 @ 1.62% ( 4-2 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.47% Total : 46.65% | 1-1 @ 12.01% 0-0 @ 6.82% ( 2-2 @ 5.29% ( 3-3 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.28% | 0-1 @ 7.77% ( 1-2 @ 6.85% ( 0-2 @ 4.43% ( 1-3 @ 2.6% ( 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0-3 @ 1.69% ( Other @ 2.71% Total : 28.06% |