Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 60.65%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 18.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 1-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a Chelmsford City win it was 1-2 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.