Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 58.2%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Altrincham had a probability of 20.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.55%) and 1-0 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for an Altrincham win it was 1-2 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Barnet in this match.
Result | ||
Barnet | Draw | Altrincham |
58.2% ( -0.86) | 21.02% ( 0.47) | 20.77% ( 0.39) |
Both teams to score 59.65% ( -1.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.19% ( -1.68) | 37.81% ( 1.68) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.94% ( -1.82) | 60.06% ( 1.82) |
Barnet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.21% ( -0.78) | 12.79% ( 0.78) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.9% ( -1.62) | 39.09% ( 1.62) |
Altrincham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.4% ( -0.61) | 31.6% ( 0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32% ( -0.7) | 68% ( 0.7) |
Score Analysis |
Barnet | Draw | Altrincham |
2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.55% ( 0.19) 1-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.42) 3-1 @ 6.75% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 3.47% ( -0.2) 4-0 @ 3.01% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 2% ( -0.15) 5-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.13) 5-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.86% Total : 58.2% | 1-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.32) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.02% | 1-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.29) 0-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.59% Total : 20.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 13 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 12 | 16 | 30 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 27 |
3 | York City | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 26 |
4 | Gateshead | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 26 |
5 | Rochdale | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 24 |
6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 23 |
7 | Eastleigh | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 21 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 20 |
9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 19 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 18 |
11 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 18 |
12 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 18 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 17 |
14 | Tamworth | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 17 |
15 | Woking | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 16 |
16 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 16 |
17 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 14 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 14 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 14 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 13 |
21 | Fylde | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 12 |
22 | Boston UnitedBoston | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 9 |
23 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 8 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 6 |
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