National League | Gameweek 4

Aug 24, 2024 at 3pm UK

The Hive Stadium

Barnet
2 - 1
Southend

Chapman (31'), Shelton (70' pen.)
Kizzi (37'), Shelton (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Scott-Morriss (64')
Husin (23'), Ralph (80'), Scott-Morriss (90+2')

Coverage of the National League clash between Barnet and Southend United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnet

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Barnet 1-0 Forest Green
Tuesday, August 20 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Southend United

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Southend 2-0 Boston
Tuesday, August 20 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 35.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest Barnet win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Barnet	Draw	Southend United
35.95% ( 2.17)	24.95% ( 0.25)	39.1% ( -2.42)

Both teams to score 57.88% (

-0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.53% (

-0.75)

45.47% (

0.75)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.19% (

-0.72)

67.8% (

0.72)

Barnet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.24% (

0.9)

24.76% (

-0.9)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.68% (

1.24)

59.32% (

-1.24)

Southend United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.92% (

-1.51)

23.08% (

1.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.08% (

-2.26)

56.91% (

2.26)

Score Analysis

Barnet 35.95%

Southend United 39.1%

Draw 24.94%

Barnet	Draw	Southend United
2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.31) 1-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.45) 2-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.45) 3-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.24) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.27) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 0.9% ( 0.11) Other @ 1.86% Total : 35.95%	1-1 @ 11.69% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.94%	1-2 @ 8.58% ( -0.28) 0-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.37) 1-3 @ 4.19% ( -0.34) 0-3 @ 3% ( -0.33) 2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.2) 0-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.18) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.18% Total : 39.1%