Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 78.36%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Tilbury had a probability of 8.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.17%) and 1-2 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.34%), while for a Tilbury win it was 2-1 (2.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Chelmsford City in this match.