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FA Cup

FA Cup | Second Round Qualifying
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Chadfields

Tilbury
0 - 2
Chelmsford City

FT(HT: 0-2)
Ruff (36', 40')
Coverage of the FA Cup Second Round Qualifying clash between Tilbury and Chelmsford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tilbury

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Last Game: Brantham Athletic 1-2 Tilbury
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
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Chelmsford City

All competitions
Last Game: Chelmsford City 3-0 Bath City
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 78.36%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Tilbury had a probability of 8.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.17%) and 1-2 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.34%), while for a Tilbury win it was 2-1 (2.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Chelmsford City in this match.

Result
TilburyDrawChelmsford City
8.02%13.61%78.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 50.49% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.11% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)31.88%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.56% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)53.43% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Tilbury Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)46% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.28%81.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)6.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.74% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)24.25%
Score Analysis
    Tilbury 8.02%
    Chelmsford City 78.35%
    Draw 13.61%
TilburyDrawChelmsford City
2-1 @ 2.46%
1-0 @ 2.32%
2-0 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 8.02%
1-1 @ 6.34%
2-2 @ 3.37%
0-0 @ 2.99%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 13.61%
0-2 @ 11.16%
0-3 @ 10.17%
1-2 @ 8.67% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-1 @ 8.17% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 7.9% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-4 @ 6.96% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-4 @ 5.4% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-5 @ 3.8% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 3.07%
1-5 @ 2.95% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 2.1%
0-6 @ 1.73%
1-6 @ 1.35%
2-5 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 78.35%