Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 51.31%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Truro City had a probability of 24.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Truro City win it was 1-0 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.