Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidstone United win with a probability of 41.46%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 32.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidstone United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 0-1 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.