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FA Cup

FA Cup | Extra Preliminary Round
Aug 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
Chadfields

Tilbury
4 - 1
Buckhurst Hill

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup Extra Preliminary Round clash between Tilbury and Buckhurst Hill.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tilbury

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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Buckhurst Hill

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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tilbury win with a probability of 64.36%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Buckhurst Hill had a probability of 17.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tilbury win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.99%) and 3-1 (7.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.86%), while for a Buckhurst Hill win it was 1-2 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tilbury would win this match.

Result
TilburyDrawBuckhurst Hill
64.36% (-0.24199999999999 -0.24)18.35% (0.087 0.09)17.29% (0.158 0.16)
Both teams to score 63.14% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.55% (-0.126 -0.13)30.45% (0.128 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.27% (-0.15199999999999 -0.15)51.73% (0.154 0.15)
Tilbury Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.98% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)9.02% (0.09 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.29% (-0.212 -0.21)30.71% (0.216 0.22)
Buckhurst Hill Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.39% (0.084000000000003 0.08)30.6% (-0.081 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.16% (0.1 0.1)66.84% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Tilbury 64.36%
    Buckhurst Hill 17.29%
    Draw 18.35%
TilburyDrawBuckhurst Hill
2-1 @ 9.46% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.99% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.59% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.64% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.41% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 4.56% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-2 @ 4.49% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
4-0 @ 3.85% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-2 @ 2.7% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.2% (-0.024 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.85% (-0.025 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.3% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1.07% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 4.26%
Total : 64.36%
1-1 @ 7.86% (0.042 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.6% (0.021 0.02)
0-0 @ 2.76% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.77% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 18.35%
1-2 @ 4.65% (0.036 0.04)
0-1 @ 3.27% (0.031 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.21% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.93% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.84% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 17.29%

Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Tilbury