Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 50.24%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for AFC Hornchurch had a probability of 24.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for an AFC Hornchurch win it was 1-0 (7.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.

Result
AFC Hornchurch	Draw	Chelmsford City
24.59% ( 0.5)	25.17% ( -0)	50.24% ( -0.49)

Both teams to score 50.92% (

0.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.29% (

0.43)

51.71% (

-0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.51% (

0.37)

73.48% (

-0.37)

AFC Hornchurch Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.12% (

0.68)

35.88% (

-0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.34% (

0.69)

72.65% (

-0.69)

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.41% (

-0.03)

20.59% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.87% (

-0.05)

53.13% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

AFC Hornchurch 24.59%

Chelmsford City 50.24%

Draw 25.16%

AFC Hornchurch	Draw	Chelmsford City
1-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.13% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 3.88% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 2.1% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.92% Total : 24.59%	1-1 @ 11.96% 0-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.97% Total : 25.16%	0-1 @ 11.67% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 9.46% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.23% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 4.98% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.86% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.97% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.92% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.6% Total : 50.24%