Potential new FA Cup header

FA Cup

FA Cup | Second Round Qualifying
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Hornchurch Stadium

Hornchurch
2 - 1
Hashtag United

FT(HT: 0-0)
Gordon (70')
Coverage of the FA Cup Second Round Qualifying clash between AFC Hornchurch and Hashtag United.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Hornchurch

All competitions
Last Game: Worthing 0-0 Hornchurch
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in National League South

Hashtag United

All competitions
Last Game: Hashtag United 2-0 Stotfold FC
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Hornchurch win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Hashtag United had a probability of 35.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Hornchurch win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.92%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Hashtag United win was 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for AFC Hornchurch in this match.

Result
AFC HornchurchDrawHashtag United
39.73% (0.009999999999998 0.01)24.48% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)35.8% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 59.55% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.71% (0.024000000000001 0.02)43.3% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.31% (0.024999999999999 0.02)65.69% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
AFC Hornchurch Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.19% (0.016000000000005 0.02)21.81% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.98% (0.024999999999999 0.02)55.02% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Hashtag United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.17% (0.010999999999996 0.01)23.84% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.99% (0.015000000000001 0.02)58.02% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    AFC Hornchurch 39.73%
    Hashtag United 35.8%
    Draw 24.47%
AFC HornchurchDrawHashtag United
2-1 @ 8.64% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 7.92% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-0 @ 6.03% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.39% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.67% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.2% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.17% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 39.73%
1-1 @ 11.35%
2-2 @ 6.2% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 5.2% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.5% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.47%
1-2 @ 8.14% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-1 @ 7.46% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 5.35% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 3.89%
2-3 @ 2.96% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.56%
1-4 @ 1.4% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.06% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 35.8%