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FA Cup

FA Cup | Fourth Round Qualifying
Oct 12, 2024 at 3pm UK
The New Eyrie

Biggleswade
1 - 3
York City

Mohammad Fahid Al Haj Ibrahim (12')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Pearce (9', 90'), Akinyemi (45+1')
Coverage of the FA Cup Fourth Round Qualifying clash between Biggleswade and York City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Biggleswade

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Last Game: Biggleswade 1-0 Canvey Island
Sunday, September 29 at 3pm in FA Cup
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

York City

All competitions
Last Game: Woking 1-1 York City
Saturday, October 5 at 5.30pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 75.38%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Biggleswade had a probability of 8.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.3%) and 0-3 (10.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.43%), while for a Biggleswade win it was 1-0 (3.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.

Result
BiggleswadeDrawYork City
8.99% (0.050000000000001 0.05)15.63% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)75.38% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Both teams to score 46.89% (0.307 0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.31% (0.273 0.27)38.69% (-0.271 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.01% (0.289 0.29)60.99% (-0.287 -0.29)
Biggleswade Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.34% (0.302 0.3)48.66% (-0.3 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.29% (0.217 0.22)83.71% (-0.21300000000001 -0.21)
York City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.34% (0.060999999999993 0.06)8.66% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.15% (0.14400000000001 0.14)29.84% (-0.142 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Biggleswade 8.99%
    York City 75.37%
    Draw 15.63%
BiggleswadeDrawYork City
1-0 @ 3.04% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-1 @ 2.67% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 1.09% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 8.99%
1-1 @ 7.43% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.21% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.27% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 15.63%
0-2 @ 12.61% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-1 @ 10.3% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-3 @ 10.28% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 9.08% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 7.41% (0.03 0.03)
0-4 @ 6.29% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 4.53% (0.031 0.03)
0-5 @ 3.08% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 2.67% (0.033 0.03)
1-5 @ 2.22% (0.021 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.63% (0.025 0.02)
0-6 @ 1.26% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-6 @ 0.9% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 75.37%