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FA Cup

FA Cup | Second Round Qualifying
Sep 15, 2024 at 3pm UK
The New Eyrie

Biggleswade
2 - 1
AFC Dunstable

Hunt (44'), Northfield (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Duodu (88')
Coverage of the FA Cup Second Round Qualifying clash between Biggleswade and AFC Dunstable.

Form, Standings, Stats

Biggleswade

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Last Game: Basildon United 0-1 Biggleswade
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup
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AFC Dunstable

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Last Game: AFC Dunstable 1-0 AFC Sudbury
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Biggleswade win with a probability of 44.43%. A win for AFC Dunstable had a probability of 32.86% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Biggleswade win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.46%) and 2-0 (5.82%). The likeliest AFC Dunstable win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Biggleswade in this match.

Result
BiggleswadeDrawAFC Dunstable
44.43% (0.286 0.29)22.7% (0.026 0.03)32.86% (-0.312 -0.31)
Both teams to score 65.34% (-0.233 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.61% (-0.251 -0.25)35.38% (0.252 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.58% (-0.28 -0.28)57.42% (0.281 0.28)
Biggleswade Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.5% (0.010000000000005 0.01)16.49% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.78% (0.017000000000003 0.02)46.22% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
AFC Dunstable Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.25% (-0.28699999999999 -0.29)21.74% (0.288 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.07% (-0.438 -0.44)54.92% (0.439 0.44)
Score Analysis
    Biggleswade 44.43%
    AFC Dunstable 32.87%
    Draw 22.7%
BiggleswadeDrawAFC Dunstable
2-1 @ 8.89% (0.042 0.04)
1-0 @ 6.46% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
2-0 @ 5.82% (0.077 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.34% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 4.07% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.5% (0.048 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.41% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.84% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.58% (0.022 0.02)
4-3 @ 0.93% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 44.43%
1-1 @ 9.86% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.78% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.59% (0.045 0.04)
3-3 @ 2.07% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 22.7%
1-2 @ 7.52% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.47% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.18% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.83% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.45% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.12% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.46% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.32% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 32.87%

rhs 2.0


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